HURRICANES SEASON EXPECTED TO HEAT UP
September 15th, 2010A global pattern helping cool down the tropics has eased — and storms are almost certainly on the way, experts say.
It sure hasn’t felt like it on the melting asphalt of Miami and Fort Lauderdale, but some parts of the tropics have seen an unusual cool snap over the last several weeks.
Unfortunately, that cool, dry air was confined to layers several hundred feet aloft over both the Pacific and Atlantic oceans, but it still offered South Florida some relief: It put a chill on hurricane development.
Hope you enjoyed the calm before the storms. Because hurricane experts say they are almost certainly on the way — possibly in bunches. The brief reprieve offered by an unexpectedly stable global pattern has expired, right in time for what, starting Friday, has historically been the hottest stretch of hurricane season.
“Aug. 20 is that one day when we say the bell tolls,” said Todd Kimberlain, a hurricane specialist with the National Hurricane Center. `It’s right around the time when we see this huge ramp-up.”
How huge, no one can say for sure. Early in August, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration slightly reduced its seasonal forecast but still stressed that all the atmospheric conditions were there to brew an above-average season: 18 to 20 named storms and 10 to 12 hurricanes, five to six of those Category Three or stronger.
Joe Bastardi, a hurricane expert for AccuWeather.com, believes 2010 can still live up to its billing, with potential for “an upcoming frenzy of storms, days with two or three storms on the chart.”
Bastardi, in his preseason forecast, predicted as many as eight storms making U.S. landfall. So far, Hurricane Alex hit Mexico and brushed Texas and Tropical Storm Bonnie blew mildly across South Florida before dissipating in the Gulf of Mexico.
BY CURTIS MORGAN
CMORGAN@MIAMIHERALD.COM





















